When all the time has run off the clock and the confetti has floated to the turf at U.S. Bank Stadium in Minnesota, most Super Bowl LII betting markets will be settled. All that’s left if to hand out the hardware. And while all eyes are on the Lombardi Trophy, sports bettors will be fixated on the announcement of Super Bowl MVP.
The futures on Super Bowl MVP actually hit the board as early as the beginning of the playoffs at some sportsbooks, and dwindle down to a select group as each round plays out. With Super Bowl LII just a week away, the top talents on the Philadelphia Eagles and New England Patriots rank among the oddsmakers’ selections to earn to individual Big Game honors. Here are some sports betting tips
for the best ways to wager on the Super Bowl MVP odds:
Count on the QBs
No position in football – and maybe all of sports – is more important that quarterback. That’s why we see Patriots legendary passer Tom brady and Eagles quarterback Nick Foles at the top of the MVP odds board. Looking back at the previous 51 Super Bowls, 28 have had a quarterback win MVP.
With New England being a 5-point favorite for the Big Game, Brady is the front runner at -160. And why not? Brady is likely going to earn another regular season MVP and has won the Super Bowl Most Valuable Player award four times in his career.
Foles is coming out at +400 and has played like an MVP in the postseason. The Eagles second-stringer, who took over for Carson Wentz in Week 14, has completed 77.8 percent of his passes (better than Brady at 67.4%) for 584 yards and three touchdowns with zero interceptions. If the Eagles do stun the Patriots, Foles will likely be the catalyst for that upset.
Skills to pay the bills
Beyond the quarterbacks, there are a number of worthy MVP candidates at the other skill positions. Outside the QBs, New England tight end Rob Gronkowski and receivers Brandin Cooks and Danny Amendola are listed at +1,000
For the Eagles, the next players down the list from Foles – with five Patriots in between – is receiver Alshon Jeffery at +1,500, running back Jay Ajayi at +1,600 and tight end Zach Ertz at +1,800.
There are some value players on the board, such as Patriots RB James White (+2,200) and former New England/current Philadelphia RB LeGarrette Blount (+2,600). But maybe the best MVP bet in a Big Game lies outside of the skill positions.
Don’t doubt the defense
A defensive player has won Super Bowl MVP 10 times in the history of the Big Game, the last being Denver LB Von Miller in Super Bowl 50. And with two very capable stop units on the field on February 4, it would come as no surprise if a defense player took home Super Bowl MVP.
Eagles corner Patrick Robinson was huge in the NFC title game with an interception for a touchdown and has recorded a total of five INTs on the season. If the Philadelphia pass rush can make Brady hurry and try to squeeze the ball into tight spots, Robinson could find himself on the receiving end of another pick-6 in the Super Bowl. He’s grouped among The Field at +1,000.
For the Patriots, they have a slew of talented and experienced players in the secondary. Safety Patrick Chung is getting respect from oddsmakers, on the board at +5,000 along with fellow safety Devin McCourty and corner Malcolm Butler. If you’re feeling a bit sentimental, why not take a flyer on former Pittsburgh veteran linebacker James Harrison at +5,000, who looked good against the Jaguars and could end his career on a high note in Super Bowl LII.